On January 6, 2021, fervent Trump supporters stormed the US Capitol in an attempt, spurred by his allegations, to stop the certification of the election result.
Also, the CNBC poll shows Trump slightly more popular than Harris nationally, with Trump's rating at 42% positive, 48% negative (-6 net rating), while Harris' stood at 39% positive, 49% negative (-10).
Trump is leading Biden in many national and battleground polls after the president stumbled through a disastrous debate, which was marked by verbal slip-ups and incoherent sentences.
Paleologos said that explains why the Suffolk University poll conducted in late September showed Trump leading Harris by 6 points in Arizona. "I wasn't shocked we had [a] Trump plus-6 state in Arizona," he said.
Notably, it may impact the federal charges he faces related to efforts to overturn the 2020 election, including his alleged involvement in the January 6 Capitol riot.
Republican Trump won the most populous battleground, with 13 million residents, by 0.7 percentage points in 2016. Joe Biden claimed it by 1.2 percentage points in 2020.
Harris has raised a record-breaking $500 million in a month and narrowed the gap or taken the lead against Trump in many opinion polls of battleground states. Nationwide, she leads Trump 46.6% to 43.8%.